Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
05
1st serve percentage
61%69%
1st serve points won
72% (31/43)68% (25/37)
2nd serve points won
52% (14/27)24% (4/17)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)50% (3/6)
1st return points won
32% (12/37)30% (13/43)
2nd return points won
76% (13/17)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)0% (0/3)
Winners
2222
Unforced errors
1722
Net points won
55% (11/20)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
64% (44/69)55% (29/53)
Return Points Won
45% (24/53)36% (25/69)
Total Points Won
56% (68/122)44% (54/122)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
41.9%
Corentin Moutet
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 65.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Kovacevic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Moutet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.46)

    1.64
    (1.54)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Moutet will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Kovacevic (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Moutet (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 50%). Moutet (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 72. Moutet is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Kovacevic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Moutet is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Moutet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Latest results of Corentin Moutet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)0 : 2
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Korda S.Comesana F.2 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)2 : 0
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.
    2Cerundolo J. M.Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)Borges N.2 : 0
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)0 : 2
    5Bublik A. (10)Kopriva V.
    6Hijikata R.Darderi L. (20)
    7Norrie C. (27)McDonald M.
    8Korda S.De Minaur A. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)2 : 0
    11Cerundolo F. (19)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    12Bautista-Agut R.Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)
    15Humbert U. (32)Michelsen A.
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    18Prizmic D. (RET.)Fils A. (30)0 : 1
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.1 : 2
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.1 : 2
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)0 : 2
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Rinderknech A. (26)
    2Vacherot V. (24)Ruud C. (13)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Djokovic N. (3)Kovacevic A.
    6Cerundolo F. (19)Draper J. (14)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9Fucsovics M.Fils A. (30)
    10Diallo G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
    11Cobolli F. (15)Tiafoe F. (21)
    12Nakashima B. (28)Zverev A. (4)
    13Shelton B. (8)Tien L. (25)
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Mensik J. (12)
    15Fonseca J.Paul T. (23)
    16Shapovalov D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2