Henrique Rocha vs Thiago Monteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
57
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
68%69%
1st serve points won
86% (38/44)67% (44/66)
2nd serve points won
62% (13/21)41% (12/29)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)45% (5/11)
1st return points won
33% (22/66)14% (6/44)
2nd return points won
59% (17/29)38% (8/21)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)100% (1/1)
Winners
2324
Unforced errors
2245
Net points won
57% (4/7)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
78% (51/65)59% (56/95)
Return Points Won
41% (39/95)22% (14/65)
Total Points Won
56% (90/160)44% (70/160)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
92% (12/13)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)8% (1/13)
Total games won
67% (18/27)33% (9/27)

Chances of winning


Henrique Rocha
40%
Thiago Monteiro
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.
  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Monteiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Henrique Rocha - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (1.84)

    1.56
    (1.84)
    6.9%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Thiago Monteiro?
  • Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thiago Monteiro will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rocha is ranked ATP: 169. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232.
    • Rocha is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Monteiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Boyer T.2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Schiessl J. E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Diaz Acosta F. (SE)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    4Miguel G. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Cadenasso G.2 : 1
    6Ribeiro E. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)2 : 0
    7Marcondes I. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Heide G.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 1
    9Rocha H. (5)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    10Sanchez Jover C. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)2 : 1
    11Reis Da Silva J.Soto M.2 : 1
    12Prado Angelo J. C.Den Ouden G. (4)2 : 0
    13Guillen Meza A. (8)Damas M.0 : 2
    14Monteiro T.Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Torrealba B. (Q)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    16Boscardin Dias P.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Diaz Acosta F.Miguel G.2 : 0
    3Faria J. (3)Ribeiro E.0 : 2
    4Marcondes I.Heide G.1 : 2
    5Rocha H. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    7Damas M.Monteiro T.0 : 2
    8Varillas J. P.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    2Ribeiro E.Heide G.2 : 1
    3Rocha H. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    4Monteiro T.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Rocha H. (5)Monteiro T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Vallejo D. (1)Rocha H. (5)0 : 2