Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 83% (52/63) | 74% (56/76) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (29/42) | 52% (25/48) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 82% (9/11) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (20/76) | 24% (15/63) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 31% (13/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 33% (1/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 47 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 50 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 100% (1/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (81/105) | 66% (81/123) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (42/123) | 23% (24/105) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (123/228) | 46% (105/228) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 88% (14/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 6% (1/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
53.7% | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.02 ↑
(1.83) |
6.9%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Budkov Kjaer: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Budkov Kjaer (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 108. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 150.
- Ofner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Budkov Kjaer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Sebastian Ofner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won against Sebastian Ofner?
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
