Result
1:2
09/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (46/74) | 75% (38/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 12/16 | 3/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (13/51) | 36% (27/74) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 42% (16/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/6 | 4/16 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 51 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 79% (19/24) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (67/110) | 68% (54/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (25/79) | 39% (43/110) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (92/189) | 51% (97/189) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
53.9% | Maik Steiner
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Maik Steiner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maik Steiner Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.85) |
|
2.02 ↑
(1.85) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 540. Steiner is ranked ATP: 719.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ivan Marrero Curbelo won against Maik Steiner?
Ivan Marrero Curbelo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maik Steiner won against Ivan Marrero Curbelo?
Maik Steiner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maik Steiner were as follows:
Latest results of Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Latest results of Maik Steiner
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | |
