Antoine Ghibaudo vs Matt Ponchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/03/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
63%52%
1st serve points won
76% (25/33)62% (16/26)
2nd serve points won
79% (15/19)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
5/52/5
1st return points won
38% (10/26)24% (8/33)
2nd return points won
50% (12/24)21% (4/19)
Break Points Converted
3/50/5
Winners
1413
Unforced errors
1832
Net points won
100% (6/6)59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
77% (40/52)56% (28/50)
Return Points Won
44% (22/50)23% (12/52)
Total Points Won
61% (62/102)39% (40/102)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Antoine Ghibaudo
75.2%
Matt Ponchet
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antoine Ghibaudo's performance.
  • Matt Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matt Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antoine Ghibaudo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matt Ponchet than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matt Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Antoine Ghibaudo - Matt Ponchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.4)

    3.77
    (2.7)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Antoine Ghibaudo - Matt Ponchet?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ghibaudo will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ghibaudo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 338. Ponchet is ranked ATP: 828.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ghibaudo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ghibaudo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Antoine Ghibaudo
    Latest results of Matt Ponchet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bertola R.0 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Faurel T. (WC)2 : 1
    3Sels J.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (WC)Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Added D.1 : 2
    6Krumich M.Cassone M.0 : 2
    7Smith K.Martineau M.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Chidekh C. (6)2 : 1
    9Rodionov J. (5)Janvier M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Knaff A. (LL)Visker N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paris T.Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    13Tabur C. (7)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    14Ghibaudo A. (Q)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    15Perot R. (Alt)Romano F. (Q)1 : 2
    16Brady P. (Q)Herbert P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bertola R.Holmgren A.2 : 0
    2Blancaneaux G.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Added D.Cassone M.0 : 2
    4Martineau M.Kotov P.1 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (5)Knaff A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Tabur C. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    8Romano F.Brady P.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bertola R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Cassone M.Kotov P.0 : 2
    3Rodionov J. (5)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Tabur C. (7)Romano F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Kotov P.1 : 2
    2Rodionov J. (5)Romano F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Kotov P.Romano F.2 : 0