Eero Vasa vs Matteo Covato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
59%63%
1st serve points won
83% (20/24)53% (19/36)
2nd serve points won
71% (12/17)33% (7/21)
Break Points Saved
4/411/16
1st return points won
47% (17/36)17% (4/24)
2nd return points won
67% (14/21)29% (5/17)
Break Points Converted
5/160/4
Winners
1413
Unforced errors
1129
Net points won
90% (9/10)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
78% (32/41)46% (26/57)
Return Points Won
54% (31/57)22% (9/41)
Total Points Won
64% (63/98)36% (35/98)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (7/7)38% (3/8)
Return games won
63% (5/8)0% (0/7)
Total games won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Eero Vasa
82%
Matteo Covato
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.3% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eero Vasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Eero Vasa - Matteo Covato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.16)

    5.19
    (4.44)
    7.1%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vasa is ranked ATP: 482. Covato is ranked ATP: 739.
    • Vasa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Covato has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vasa is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Eero Vasa
    Latest results of Matteo Covato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1