Arthur Fery vs Dane Sweeny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
66%63%
1st serve points won
72% (33/46)60% (31/52)
2nd serve points won
50% (12/24)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
4/72/8
1st return points won
40% (21/52)28% (13/46)
2nd return points won
55% (17/31)50% (12/24)
Break Points Converted
6/83/7
Winners
2424
Unforced errors
3138
Net points won
71% (12/17)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
64% (45/70)54% (45/83)
Return Points Won
46% (38/83)36% (25/70)
Total Points Won
54% (83/153)46% (70/153)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
77% (10/13)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)23% (3/13)
Total games won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Arthur Fery
51.1%
Dane Sweeny
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fery's form might have worsened.
  • Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dane Sweeny's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arthur Fery - Dane Sweeny Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.44)

    1.91
    (2.6)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Fery is ranked ATP: 173. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 131.
    • Fery is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sweeny has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fery is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Arthur Fery
    Latest results of Dane Sweeny
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2