Mackenzie McDonald vs Luca Nardi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Canceled
11/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
55.6%
Luca Nardi
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Luca Nardi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.66)

    2.09
    (2.08)
    7.7%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 126. Nardi is ranked ATP: 135.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2