Alexander Donski vs Garrett Johns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
146
Double Faults
51
1st serve percentage
59%71%
1st serve points won
84% (42/50)79% (44/56)
2nd serve points won
54% (19/35)57% (13/23)
Break Points Saved
0/00/0
1st return points won
21% (12/56)18% (9/50)
2nd return points won
43% (10/23)46% (16/35)
Break Points Converted
0/00/0
Winners
4217
Unforced errors
4410
Net points won
67% (10/15)100% (7/7)
Service Points Won
72% (60/83)72% (57/79)
Return Points Won
28% (22/79)28% (23/83)
Total Points Won
51% (82/162)49% (80/162)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
03
Service games won
100% (12/12)100% (12/12)
Return games won
0% (0/12)0% (0/12)
Total games won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Alexander Donski
51.6%
Garrett Johns
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Donski's performance.
  • Garrett Johns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garrett Johns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Donski that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garrett Johns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexander Donski - Garrett Johns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.22)

    1.95
    (1.58)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Donski - Garrett Johns?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Donski will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Johns will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Donski (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Donski is ranked ATP: 779. Johns is ranked ATP: 325.
    • Donski has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Johns is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Johns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Johns could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Latest results of Garrett Johns
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)