Antoine Ghibaudo vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/03/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
66%64%
1st serve points won
76% (35/46)71% (41/58)
2nd serve points won
71% (17/24)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
0/14/6
1st return points won
33% (19/58)24% (11/46)
2nd return points won
50% (16/32)29% (7/24)
Break Points Converted
2/61/1
Winners
2235
Unforced errors
2436
Net points won
43% (6/14)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
74% (52/70)63% (57/90)
Return Points Won
37% (33/90)26% (18/70)
Total Points Won
53% (85/160)47% (75/160)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
93% (13/14)85% (11/13)
Return games won
15% (2/13)7% (1/14)
Total games won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Antoine Ghibaudo
48%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 56.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Antoine Ghibaudo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2)

    1.8
    (1.72)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Antoine Ghibaudo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ghibaudo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bailly will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 338. Bailly is ranked ATP: 209.
    • Ghibaudo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bailly is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Antoine Ghibaudo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bertola R.0 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Faurel T. (WC)2 : 1
    3Sels J.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (WC)Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Added D.1 : 2
    6Krumich M.Cassone M.0 : 2
    7Smith K.Martineau M.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Chidekh C. (6)2 : 1
    9Rodionov J. (5)Janvier M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Knaff A. (LL)Visker N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paris T.Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    13Tabur C. (7)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    14Ghibaudo A. (Q)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    15Perot R. (Alt)Romano F. (Q)1 : 2
    16Brady P. (Q)Herbert P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bertola R.Holmgren A.2 : 0
    2Blancaneaux G.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Added D.Cassone M.0 : 2
    4Martineau M.Kotov P.1 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (5)Knaff A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Tabur C. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    8Romano F.Brady P.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bertola R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Cassone M.Kotov P.0 : 2
    3Rodionov J. (5)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Tabur C. (7)Romano F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Kotov P.1 : 2
    2Rodionov J. (5)Romano F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Kotov P.Romano F.2 : 0