USA vs Italy, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Group Stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
Fox Sports App
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
italyItalyRaiPlay, RAI Play Sport 1, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoTelevisa
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Tubi TV

Chances of winning


USA
89.6%
Italy
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
89.9% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • USA - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.08
    (1.08)

    9.48
    (9.62)
    3.6%
    (3%)
    Preview Facts
    • USA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, USA is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, USA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.
    Latest results of USA
    09.03.2026 USA - Mexico 5:3
    07.03.2026 USA - Great Britain 9:1
    06.03.2026 Brazil - USA 5:15
    03.03.2026 San Francisco Giants - USA 1:15
    23.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 1:6
    Latest results of Italy
    08.03.2026 Italy - Great Britain 7:4
    07.03.2026 Italy - Brazil 8:0
    27.09.2025 Netherlands - Italy 6:5
    26.09.2025 Czech Republic - Italy 5:8
    25.09.2025 Germany - Italy 0:1
    World Baseball Classic Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWLPCT
    1Puerto Rico ✔ 33013:41.000
    2Cuba32111:90.667
    3Canada21111:60.500
    4Colombia41310:230.250
    5Panama41311:140.250


    Group B
    PlWLPCT
    1USA33029:91.000
    2Italy22015:41.000
    3Mexico32127:70.667
    4Great Britain41315:250.250
    5Brazil4046:470.000


    Group C
    PlWLPCT
    1Japan ✔ 44034:91.000
    2South Korea ✔ 42228:190.500
    3Australia42213:120.500
    4Chinese Taipei42219:200.500
    5Czech Republic4045:390.000


    Group D
    PlWLPCT
    1Dominican Republic ✔ 33034:51.000
    2Venezuela ✔ 33021:51.000
    3Israel3129:210.333
    4Netherlands3127:210.333
    5Nicaragua4046:250.000

          Promotion ~ World Baseball Classic (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Puerto Rico is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )
    Japan is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )
    South Korea is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )
    Dominican Republic is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )
    Venezuela is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )