Result
0:2
11/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (37/46) | 79% (41/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 65% (15/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/5 | 0/2 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 23% (12/52) | 22% (10/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 50% (20/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/2 | 2/5 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 50% (2/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 75% (56/75) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (19/75) | 35% (30/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (75/161) | 53% (86/161) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (12/24) |
Chances of winning
Alexander Donski
35.1% | Max Houkes
64.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Houkes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Alexander Donski - Max Houkes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.19) |
|
1.43 ↓
(1.59) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexander Donski - Max Houkes?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +3 Games - Donski (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Donski (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Donski is ranked ATP: 779. Houkes is ranked ATP: 245.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Houkes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Donski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Donski won against Max Houkes?
Alexander Donski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Max Houkes won against Alexander Donski?
Max Houkes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Donski - Max Houkes were as follows:
Latest results of Alexander Donski
Latest results of Max Houkes
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | |
