Matteo Martineau vs Pavel Kotov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
76
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
67%69%
1st serve points won
68% (46/68)83% (53/64)
2nd serve points won
64% (21/33)59% (17/29)
Break Points Saved
2/40/1
1st return points won
17% (11/64)32% (22/68)
2nd return points won
41% (12/29)36% (12/33)
Break Points Converted
1/12/4
Winners
2538
Unforced errors
3330
Net points won
56% (10/18)65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
66% (67/101)75% (70/93)
Return Points Won
25% (23/93)34% (34/101)
Total Points Won
46% (90/194)54% (104/194)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
88% (15/17)94% (16/17)
Return games won
6% (1/17)12% (2/17)
Total games won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Matteo Martineau
35.3%
Pavel Kotov
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.
  • Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Martineau - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.02)

    1.44
    (1.7)
    6.6%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Martineau - Pavel Kotov?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Martineau (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Martineau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martineau is ranked ATP: 326. Kotov is ranked ATP: 402.
    • Martineau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kotov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kotov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martineau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    10.02.2026 Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche Kotov P. retired
    08.02.2026 Pavel Kotov - Tom Gentzsch 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bertola R.0 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Faurel T. (WC)2 : 1
    3Sels J.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (WC)Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Added D.1 : 2
    6Krumich M.Cassone M.0 : 2
    7Smith K.Martineau M.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Chidekh C. (6)2 : 1
    9Rodionov J. (5)Janvier M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Knaff A. (LL)Visker N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paris T.Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    13Tabur C. (7)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    14Ghibaudo A. (Q)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    15Perot R. (Alt)Romano F. (Q)1 : 2
    16Brady P. (Q)Herbert P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bertola R.Holmgren A.2 : 0
    2Blancaneaux G.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Added D.Cassone M.0 : 2
    4Martineau M.Kotov P.1 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (5)Knaff A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Tabur C. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    8Romano F.Brady P.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bertola R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Cassone M.Kotov P.0 : 2
    3Rodionov J. (5)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Tabur C. (7)Romano F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Kotov P.1 : 2
    2Rodionov J. (5)Romano F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Kotov P.Romano F.