Hubert Hurkacz vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/03/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
63%65%
1st serve points won
50% (20/40)66% (21/32)
2nd serve points won
43% (10/23)59% (10/17)
Break Points Saved
7/120/2
1st return points won
38% (12/32)50% (20/40)
2nd return points won
41% (7/17)57% (13/23)
Break Points Converted
2/25/12
Winners
138
Unforced errors
3424
Net points won
89% (8/9)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
49% (30/61)64% (30/47)
Return Points Won
36% (17/47)51% (31/61)
Total Points Won
44% (47/108)56% (61/108)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
44% (4/9)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)56% (5/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Hubert Hurkacz
61%
Mattia Bellucci
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubert Hurkacz's form might have worsened.
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.33)

    2.41
    (3.05)
    6.8%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - Bellucci (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hubert Hurkacz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bellucci (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 71. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94.
    • Hurkacz is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bellucci has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hurkacz is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)