Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (48/60) | 63% (40/64) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 56% (19/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/8 | 7/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 20% (12/60) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/10 | 2/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (59/88) | 60% (58/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (38/96) | 33% (29/88) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (97/184) | 47% (87/184) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 46% (13/28) |
Chances of winning
Felix Gill 74% | Federico Arnaboldi 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Gill that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Felix Gill - Federico Arnaboldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.26 ↓ (1.3) |
|
3.57 ↑ (3.18) |
7.7% (8.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Gill is ranked ATP: 253. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 385.
- Gill is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Arnaboldi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gill is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Felix Gill won against Federico Arnaboldi?
Felix Gill has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Federico Arnaboldi won against Felix Gill?
Federico Arnaboldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Gill - Federico Arnaboldi were as follows:
Latest results of Felix Gill
Latest results of Federico Arnaboldi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |