Quinn Vandecasteele vs Miguel Tobon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Final

Chances of winning


Quinn Vandecasteele
62.6%
Miguel Tobon
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.39)

    2.49
    (2.79)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 509. Tobon is ranked ATP: 607.
    • Vandecasteele is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tobon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vandecasteele might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Quinn Vandecasteele
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Catry R. (1)Mendez Montiel D. E. (WC)2 : 0
    2Osorio J. S.Reymond A. (RET.) (10)1 : 0
    3Delaney Ja. (2)De Alba R.2 : 0
    4Jauregui Sainz De Rozas R. (WC)Dalmasso G. (12)0 : 2
    5Vandecasteele Q. (3)Corwin F.2 : 0
    6Tunas G. (WC)Tobon M. (8)0 : 2
    7Colson T. (4)Linde Palacios S. A.2 : 0
    8Flores J.Covato M. (11)2 : 0
    9Poling K. (5)Kumar P. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Yuzuki T. (Alt)Gonzalez Fernandez M. (9)2 : 0
    11Gomez J. S. (6)Heredia S.1 : 2
    12Sau Franco A. (WC)Rubio Fierros A. F. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Catry R. (1)Osorio J. S.
    2Delaney Ja. (2)Dalmasso G. (12)
    3Vandecasteele Q. (3)Tobon M. (8)
    4Colson T. (4)Flores J.
    5Poling K. (5)Yuzuki T.
    6Heredia S.Rubio Fierros A. F. (7)