Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
18
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
65
Corner kicks
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Chota G. , Liuzio J. (A),
  • 39', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Ambokile E. , Maranyingi B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Liuzio J. , Mkopi S. A. ,
  • 56', Muhenga T. , Marungu O. A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Mkopi S. A. , Datius P. (A),
  • 68', Msafiri K. , Laurent A. ,
  • 68', Nyangi J. , Mhesa I. ,
  • 70', Msuya R. , Mwani W. ,
  • 70', Abdallah K. , Mwalyanzi P. ,
  • 79', Malimi C. , Reuben T. ,
  • 88', Kyombo H. , Majimengi H. ,

Chances of winning


Mtibwa Sugar
42.4%
Draw
31.7%
Mbeya City
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 31.2% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.98)
    2.85
    (2.88)
    3.49
    (3.85)
    10.6%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 2.
    • Mtibwa Sugar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mtibwa Sugar is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mtibwa Sugar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City were as follows:
    22.01.2023 Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar 1:0
    02.10.2022 Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City 2:2
    Latest results of Mtibwa Sugar
    Latest results of Mbeya City
    04.12.2025 Simba - Mbeya City 3:0
    30.11.2025 Mbeya City - Namungo 0:1
    26.11.2025 Coastal Union - Mbeya City 2:0
    24.10.2025 Mbeya City - JKT Tanzania 2:2
    21.10.2025 Mbeya City - Prisons 1:2
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans15114031:22937
    2Azam1578021:41729
    3Simba1384121:61528
    4JKT Tanzania1777318:15328
    5Pamba1667319:14525
    6Singida Black Stars1574418:15325
    7Namungo1756614:17-321
    8Dodoma Jiji1756614:18-421
    9Mtibwa Sugar1656513:17-421
    10TRA United1555517:15220
    11Mashujaa174769:16-719
    12Fountain Gate164488:19-1116
    13Coastal Union1636712:18-615
    14Mbeya City1634913:22-913
    15Tanzania Prisons1734109:19-1013
    16Kinondoni MC1622125:25-208

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
          Relegation