Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
18
1st serve percentage
71%56%
1st serve points won
76% (37/49)65% (30/46)
2nd serve points won
50% (10/20)39% (14/36)
Break Points Saved
4/64/7
1st return points won
35% (16/46)29% (14/49)
2nd return points won
61% (22/36)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
3/72/6
Winners
1217
Unforced errors
1321
Net points won
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
66% (46/70)54% (44/81)
Return Points Won
46% (37/81)34% (24/70)
Total Points Won
55% (83/151)45% (68/151)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Murphy Cassone
40.7%
Francesco Maestrelli
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.15)

    1.58
    (1.62)
    6.7%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cassone is ranked ATP: 256. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 112.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cassone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Murphy Cassone
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)