Matilde Jorge vs Manon Leonard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Maribor, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
82

Chances of winning


Matilde Jorge
52.3%
Manon Leonard
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Matilde Jorge - Manon Leonard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.71)

    1.96
    (2.02)
    7.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jorge is ranked WTA: 245. Leonard is ranked WTA: 272.
    • Jorge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leonard's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matilde Jorge
    Latest results of Manon Leonard
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Korpatsch T. (1)Vandromme J.
    2Novak K.Belgraver J.
    3Jorge M.Leonard M.2 : 0
    4Knutson G.Prozorova T. (8)
    5Klimovicova L. (4)Parrizas-Diaz N.
    6Friedsam A-L.Siskova A.
    7Senica A.Martynov D.
    8Hruncakova V.Ponchet J. (6)
    9Samson L. (7)Ryser V.2 : 1
    10Naef C.Valdmannova V.
    11Sebov K.Milic E. N.
    12De Stefano S.Snigur D. (3)
    13Minnen G. (5)Rosatello C.
    14Lovric P.Watson H.
    15Jorge F.Havlickova L.2 : 0
    16Bandecchi S.Vandewinkel H. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Jorge M.TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Samson L. (7)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Jorge F.TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2