Kousuke Ogura vs Axel Nefve – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsukuba, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Kousuke Ogura
41.3%
Axel Nefve
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Axel Nefve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kousuke Ogura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Axel Nefve than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Axel Nefve, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kousuke Ogura - Axel Nefve Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.24)

    1.58
    (1.59)
    8%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ogura is ranked ATP: 888. Nefve is ranked ATP: 810.
    • Ogura is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nefve's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ogura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nefve is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ogura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kousuke Ogura - Axel Nefve were as follows:
    17.03.2026 Axel Nefve - Kousuke Ogura 2:1
    Latest results of Kousuke Ogura
    Latest results of Axel Nefve
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Shiraishi H. (1)Fukuda S.2 : 0
    2Yamamoto R.Masabayashi T.
    3Hazawa S.Nayuki G.2 : 0
    4Kikuchi Y.Nakagawa N. (7)2 : 1
    5Filar K. (3)Ichikawa T.1 : 2
    6Zhu E.Kozuma R.2 : 0
    7Matsunaga S.Zamora N.
    8Vithoontien L.Imai S. (5)
    9Hudd E. (8)Saitoh K.2 : 0
    10Ogura K.Nefve A.
    11Yamasaki J.Oki Y.2 : 0
    12Tomida Y.Kawahashi Y. (4)
    13Leong M. W. K. (6)Kim D. J.2 : 1
    14Taguchi R.Tanuma R.
    15Kim G. J.Yamanaka T.
    16Heck H.Bouzige M. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shiraishi H. (1)TBD #2
    2Hazawa S.Kikuchi Y.
    3Ichikawa T.Zhu E.
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Hudd E. (8)TBD #10
    6Yamasaki J.TBD #12
    7Leong M. W. K. (6)TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2