Result
1:2
18/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (29/44) | 67% (35/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 48% (15/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/10 | 6/9 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 34% (15/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 63% (20/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/9 | 6/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 48 | 22 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (41/76) | 60% (50/83) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (33/83) | 46% (35/76) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (74/159) | 53% (85/159) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 63% (15/24) |
Chances of winning
Mikhail Kukushkin
31.7% | Roberto Carballes Baena
68.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhail Kukushkin's form might have worsened.Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.45) |
|
1.37 ↓
(1.49) |
6.4%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 285. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 165.
- Kukushkin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carballes Baena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Carballes Baena might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kukushkin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikhail Kukushkin won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Mikhail Kukushkin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Mikhail Kukushkin?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
Latest results of Mikhail Kukushkin
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
