Comercial SP vs VOCEM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, ,
  • 34', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+11', 3 - 1, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
47.9%
Draw
32.1%
VOCEM
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 29.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 28.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comercial SP's performance.
  • VOCEM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VOCEM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VOCEM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Comercial SP - VOCEM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.14)
    2.83
    (3.13)
    4.56
    (3.2)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Comercial SP - VOCEM?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Comercial SP (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Recent performances by Comercial SP have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • VOCEM is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Comercial SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Comercial SP might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Latest results of VOCEM
    13.03.2026 VOCEM - Tanabi 0:2
    28.02.2026 Penapolense - VOCEM 0:0
    21.02.2026 ECUS - VOCEM 0:0
    14.02.2026 VOCEM - Nacional SP 0:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro ✔ 1283118:41427
    2Sao Caetano ✔ 1282218:81026
    3Penapolense1273215:9624
    4Barretos EC1264210:7322
    5Lemense1262413:9420
    6Sao-Carlense1254314:11319
    7Jacarei FC1254310:8219
    8Taquaritinga1253415:10518
    9Tanabi1245310:6417
    10ECUS SP124539:6317
    11Comercial1242613:13014
    12Jabaquara122379:16-79
    13Vocem121656:12-69
    14Colorado Caieiras121566:16-108
    15Nacional SP122197:20-137
    16AEA Aracatuba121296:24-185

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)