Result
1:2
19/03/2026 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 76% | 75% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (40/70) | 74% (45/61) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 60% (12/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/10 | 1/2 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 43% (30/70) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 36% (8/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/2 | 3/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 36 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (12/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 70% (57/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (24/81) | 41% (37/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (78/172) | 55% (94/172) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 93% (13/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 59% (16/27) |
Chances of winning
Felix Gill 29.6% | Pablo Carreno-Busta 70.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Gill, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Felix Gill - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.07 ↑ (2.93) |
|
1.33 ↓ (1.34) |
7.9% (8.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Gill is ranked ATP: 252. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Carreno Busta is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Felix Gill won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Felix Gill has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Felix Gill?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Gill - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Felix Gill
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |