Catanduva vs Paulista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A3 - Round 15

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Mateus Henrique ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Mateus Henrique (Own goal),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Matheus Arcanjo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 74', 1 - 3, Mauri ,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Catanduva
41.7%
Draw
33.2%
Paulista
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.6% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 29.2% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanduva's form might have worsened.
  • Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanduva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Catanduva - Paulista Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.92)
    2.73
    (3.18)
    3.62
    (3.8)
    10.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Catanduva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paulista is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Catanduva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Catanduva
    Latest results of Paulista
    07.03.2026 União Suzano - Paulista 0:2
    04.03.2026 Paulista - Bandeirante 0:0
    01.03.2026 Paulista - Francana 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1MariliaEC Sao Bernardo3 : 0, 0 : 2
    2XV de JauRio Claro2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3Portuguesa SantistaPaulista2 : 0, 1 : 2
    4Rio PretoUniao Barbarense0 : 0, 3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MariliaXV de Jau0 : 0
    2Portuguesa SantistaRio Preto1 : 0