St. Andrews vs Melita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
36
Total shots
95
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Mosquera D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


St. Andrews
20.6%
Draw
23.7%
Melita
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 24.9% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 25.4% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Andrews's form might have worsened.
  • Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melita's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Andrews, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. Andrews - Melita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.4
    (3.5)
    3.83
    (3.65)
    1.62
    (1.85)
    10.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • St. Andrews has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melita is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Melita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melita might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Andrews won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, St. Andrews won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Andrews - Melita were as follows:
    26.11.2023 St. Andrews - Melita 0:3
    02.10.2022 Melita - St. Andrews 6:2
    Latest results of St. Andrews
    Latest results of Melita
    10.12.2025 Mġarr United - Melita 1:3
    30.11.2025 Melita - Pietà Hotspurs 3:1
    22.11.2025 Sirens - Melita 2:1
    01.11.2025 Melita - Gudja United 2:2
    25.10.2025 Fgura United - Melita 2:3
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation