Result
2:2
23/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Amapaense - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
São José
30.5% | Draw
28.7% | Independente
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São José's form might have worsened.Independente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independente than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São José - Independente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.35) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
2.22 ↓
(2.55) |
10.3%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- São José is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Independente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has São José won against Independente?
São José has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independente won against São José?
Independente has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São José - Independente were as follows:
20.03.2026
Independente
-
São José
2:2
Latest results of São José
Latest results of Independente
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sao Jose | Independente AP | 2 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 2 | Oratorio | Santos AP | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
