Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
15
1st serve percentage
68%56%
1st serve points won
64% (42/66)76% (38/50)
2nd serve points won
74% (23/31)54% (21/39)
Break Points Saved
3/54/7
1st return points won
24% (12/50)36% (24/66)
2nd return points won
46% (18/39)26% (8/31)
Break Points Converted
3/72/5
Winners
2225
Unforced errors
4960
Net points won
60% (9/15)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
67% (65/97)66% (59/89)
Return Points Won
34% (30/89)33% (32/97)
Total Points Won
51% (95/186)49% (91/186)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
88% (14/16)81% (13/16)
Return games won
19% (3/16)13% (2/16)
Total games won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Hayato Matsuoka
54.3%
Ognjen Milic
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayato Matsuoka's performance.
  • Ognjen Milic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ognjen Milic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ognjen Milic than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Hayato Matsuoka - Ognjen Milic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.1)

    2.03
    (1.67)
    7.2%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Hayato Matsuoka - Ognjen Milic?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Milic will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milic: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376. Milic is ranked ATP: 417.
    • Matsuoka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Milic is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Milic will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Latest results of Ognjen Milic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1