Federico Arnaboldi vs John Sperle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
55%68%
1st serve points won
65% (35/54)66% (43/65)
2nd serve points won
56% (25/45)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
4/92/4
1st return points won
35% (23/65)39% (21/54)
2nd return points won
39% (12/31)44% (20/45)
Break Points Converted
2/45/9
Winners
3433
Unforced errors
4837
Net points won
58% (11/19)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
59% (58/98)65% (62/96)
Return Points Won
35% (34/96)41% (40/98)
Total Points Won
47% (92/194)53% (102/194)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (10/15)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)33% (5/15)
Total games won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Federico Arnaboldi
64%
John Sperle
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Federico Arnaboldi - John Sperle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.5)

    2.6
    (2.39)
    7%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 379. Sperle is ranked ATP: 822.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arnaboldi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of John Sperle
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Carboni L. (NG)
    2Forti F.Chepelev A. (7)
    3Barton H. (2)McDonald N. (WC)
    4Rottoli L.Potenza L. (8)
    5Arnaboldi F. (3)Sperle J.1 : 2
    6Paul J.Lokoli L. (10)2 : 0
    7Jorda Sanchis D. (4)Catini N. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Osti F. K. P. (WC)Dalla Valle E. (12)0 : 2
    9Ribecai M. (5)Raquillet L.2 : 0
    10Tammaro M. (WC)Ferrari G. (11)2 : 1
    11Guerrieri A. (6)Bilardo J. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Ciocca G. (WC)Bondioli F. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Sperle J.Paul J.
    4Jorda Sanchis D. (4)Dalla Valle E. (12)
    5Ribecai M. (5)Tammaro M.
    6Guerrieri A. (6)Bondioli F. (9)