Christoph Negritu vs Ilya Ivashka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
53%61%
1st serve points won
73% (45/62)68% (49/72)
2nd serve points won
39% (21/54)43% (20/47)
Break Points Saved
5/107/11
1st return points won
40% (29/72)27% (17/62)
2nd return points won
57% (27/47)61% (33/54)
Break Points Converted
4/115/10
Winners
2934
Unforced errors
5550
Net points won
67% (6/9)76% (13/17)
Service Points Won
57% (66/116)58% (69/119)
Return Points Won
42% (50/119)43% (50/116)
Total Points Won
49% (116/235)51% (119/235)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
01
Service games won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total games won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Christoph Negritu
61.2%
Ilya Ivashka
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.49)

    2.4
    (2.49)
    7.2%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Negritu will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Ivashka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Negritu is ranked ATP: 424. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 698.
    • Negritu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ivashka is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Negritu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Latest results of Ilya Ivashka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2