Hailey Baptiste vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/03/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
61%67%
1st serve points won
68% (30/44)70% (28/40)
2nd serve points won
64% (18/28)30% (6/20)
Break Points Saved
9/105/8
1st return points won
35% (14/40)32% (14/44)
2nd return points won
70% (14/20)36% (10/28)
Break Points Converted
3/81/10
Service Points Won
66% (47/71)57% (34/60)
Return Points Won
43% (26/60)34% (24/71)
Total Points Won
56% (73/131)44% (58/131)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
90% (9/10)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)10% (1/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Hailey Baptiste
49.8%
Jelena Ostapenko
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.09)

    1.9
    (1.78)
    4.7%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 43.5%83.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Baptiste (votes: 2 - 50%). Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baptiste is ranked WTA: 45. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
    • Baptiste is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ostapenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hailey Baptiste
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)2 : 1
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 1
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.2 : 0
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)2 : 1
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)0 : 2
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)0 : 2
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)2 : 1
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.1 : 2
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)0 : 2
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)1 : 2
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 0
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.2 : 1
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Li A.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Wang Xin. (29)2 : 1
    3Zheng Q. (23)Stephens S.2 : 0
    4Ruse G.Keys M. (15)0 : 2
    5Svitolina E. (9)Jones E.2 : 0
    6Baptiste H.Samsonova L. (19)2 : 0
    7Ostapenko J. (25)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    8Townsend T.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (3)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    10Rakhimova K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (18)Badosa P.2 : 0
    12Gibson T.Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Tagger L.2 : 0
    14Stearns P.Cristian J. (34)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (26)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 1
    16Jones F. (RET.)Pegula J. (5)0 : 1
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    18Starodubtseva Y.Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)1 : 0
    19Shnaider D. (20)Valentova T.2 : 0
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.1 : 2
    22Kalieva E.Mertens E. (21)0 : 2
    23Sakkari M. (33)Parks A.0 : 2
    24Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.2 : 1
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)0 : 2
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)Zakharova A.1 : 2
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.2 : 1
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (RET.) (17)1 : 1
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.2 : 1
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)McNally C.2 : 0
    2Zheng Q. (23)Keys M. (15)2 : 1
    3Svitolina E. (9)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    4Ostapenko J. (25)Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    5Rybakina E. (3)Kostyuk M. (27)2 : 0
    6Jovic I. (18)Gibson T.0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (11)Cristian J. (34)1 : 2
    8Fernandez L. (26)Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    9Anisimova A. (6)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    10Shnaider D. (20)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Cirstea S.Mertens E. (21)2 : 0
    12Parks A.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Bouzkova M. (32)2 : 0
    14Zakharova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Boulter K.2 : 0
    16Eala A. (31)Linette M.2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (23)
    2Baptiste H.Ostapenko J. (25)2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (3)Gibson T.
    4Cristian J. (34)Pegula J. (5)
    5Anisimova A. (6)Bencic B. (12)
    6Cirstea S.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (8)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Muchova K. (13)Eala A. (31)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Baptiste H.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Gauff C. (4)
    4Mboko V. (10)Muchova K. (13)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2