Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/03/2026 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
62%63%
1st serve points won
73% (41/56)66% (35/53)
2nd serve points won
50% (17/34)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
4/58/10
1st return points won
34% (18/53)27% (15/56)
2nd return points won
52% (16/31)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
2/101/5
Service Points Won
65% (57/88)60% (50/84)
Return Points Won
40% (34/84)35% (31/88)
Total Points Won
53% (91/172)47% (81/172)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Ofner
72.6%
Alejandro Moro Canas
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)

    3.4
    (3.01)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Moro Canas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ofner is ranked ATP: 86. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 239.
    • Ofner is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Moro Canas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ofner is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2