Liverpool vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Liverpool - Arsenal
Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 36
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
Liverpool - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.562.31
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
82% (282/345)87% (387/447)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.562.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.782.47
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
3636
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
82% (282/345)87% (387/447)
Long passes
39% (17/44)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
69% (67/97)74% (104/140)
Crosses
27% (3/11)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.651.03
Throw-ins
149
Fouls
1310
Tackles
63% (10/16)60% (12/20)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
1616
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.472.78
Goals prevented
0.470.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Gakpo C. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
  • 21', 2 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 34', Merino M. 🟨,
  • 43', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Martinelli G. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
  • 60', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 66', Gakpo C. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
  • 67', Bradley C. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
  • 67', Jones C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Merino M. ⚽,
  • 78', Trossard L. ↓, Tierney K. ↑,
  • 78', White B. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 79', Diaz L. ↓, Diogo Jota ↑,
  • 79', Merino M. 🟨,
  • 83', Gravenberch R. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
  • 88', Saka B. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
41%		Draw
27.3%		Arsenal
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27.9% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 28.3% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Liverpool - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.32 ↑
    (2.18)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.46)    		 3.02 ↓
    (3.48)    		 4.9%
    (3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 26 - 50%). Arsenal will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 36.4% – 63.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 2 - 25%). Arsenal (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Arsenal (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
    • In recent matches, Liverpool has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Liverpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Gomez J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:26. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 2.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Arsenal were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Arsenal - Liverpool 2:2
    31.07.2024 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:1
    04.02.2024 Arsenal - Liverpool 3:1
    07.01.2024 Arsenal - Liverpool 0:2
    23.12.2023 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur 5:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Leicester City - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Liverpool - West Ham United 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Fulham - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    07.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺
    20.04.2025 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCanal+, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    cambodiaCambodiaCTN
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSiminn Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaSCTV, Vidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoSuperSport 2
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, SKY NET Sports 3
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoMAX
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaNBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
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