Result
 
                    4:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/02/2024 at  13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22
 
                                                - Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Leiria  59.1% | Draw  24.5% | Belenenses  16.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Leiria - Belenenses Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.57 ↓ (1.61) | 
			   3.8 ↓ (3.89) | 
			   5.6 ↑ (5.56) | 
			   7.8% (5.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Leiria - Belenenses?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Leiria will win 
                    (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Both teams are in bad shape now. 
 - Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - In this match Leiria is a favorite.
 - Last 4 head-to-head matches Leiria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Belenenses?
                    
                    
                        
                            Leiria has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Leiria?
                    
                    
                        
                             Belenenses has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Belenenses were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.09.2023 
                                Belenenses 
                                - 
                                Leiria 
                                0:5
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.05.2023 
                                Leiria 
                                - 
                                Belenenses 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.01.2023 
                                Belenenses 
                                - 
                                Leiria 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.10.2022 
                                Leiria 
                                - 
                                Belenenses 
                                2:4
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Belenenses                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 | 
| 2 | Leiria | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 | 
| 3 | Torreense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 | 
| 4 | Maritimo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 | 
| 5 | Vizela | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 | 
| 6 | SC Farense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 | 
| 7 | Chaves | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 | 
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 12 | 
| 9 | Penafiel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 | 
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | 
| 11 | Felgueiras | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 | 
| 12 | Feirense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 | 
| 13 | Oliveirense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | 
| 14 | Portimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 | 
| 15 | Benfica B | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 | 
| 16 | Lusitania FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 | 
| 17 | Leixoes | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | 
| 18 | FC Porto B | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 | 
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