Result
2:1
27/03/2026 at 23:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 81% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (43/55) | 65% (58/89) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 48% (10/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/9 | 12/16 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (31/89) | 22% (12/55) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 56% (29/52) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/16 | 3/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 62% (8/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (66/107) | 62% (68/110) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (42/110) | 38% (41/107) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (108/217) | 50% (109/217) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
Yasutaka Uchiyama
64.5% | Hayato Matsuoka
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.37) |
|
2.64 ↓
(2.83) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchiyama: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsuoka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 308. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376.
- Recent performances by Uchiyama have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Matsuoka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Matsuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uchiyama could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Yasutaka Uchiyama won against Hayato Matsuoka?
Yasutaka Uchiyama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hayato Matsuoka won against Yasutaka Uchiyama?
Hayato Matsuoka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka were as follows:
Latest results of Yasutaka Uchiyama
Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Shimabukuro S. (1) | Honda N. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Broady L. | Trotter J. K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tu L. (Alt) | Overbeck C. E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Wu Tung-Lin | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hsu Y. H. (4) | Boulais J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shimizu Y. | Cui J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Samrej K. (Q) | Jubb P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Wendelken H. | Zhou Y. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Uchida K. (6) | Sun F. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Shin S. | Imamura M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jones M. | Uchiyama Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Isomura K. (WC) | Added D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | McCabe J. (8) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Matsuoka H. | Milic O. (NG) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ellis B. (PR) | Kwon S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Tokuda R. | Holmgren A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Honda N. | Broady L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Tu L. | Noguchi R. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Hsu Y. H. (4) | Shimizu Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Wendelken H. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Sun F. | Imamura M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Uchiyama Y. | Added D. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | McCabe J. (8) | Matsuoka H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kwon S. | Holmgren A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Broady L. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shimizu Y. | Wendelken H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sun F. | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Matsuoka H. | Kwon S. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Noguchi R. (7) | Wendelken H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Uchiyama Y. | Matsuoka H. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Noguchi R. (7) | Uchiyama Y. | 2 : 1 |
