Rio Noguchi vs Harry Wendelken – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
75%42%
1st serve points won
54% (41/76)63% (22/35)
2nd serve points won
62% (16/26)50% (24/48)
Break Points Saved
9/147/12
1st return points won
29% (10/35)46% (35/76)
2nd return points won
56% (27/48)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
5/125/14
Winners
1928
Unforced errors
4454
Net points won
64% (16/25)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
56% (57/102)55% (46/83)
Return Points Won
45% (37/83)44% (45/102)
Total Points Won
51% (94/185)49% (91/185)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
03
Service games won
64% (9/14)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)36% (5/14)
Total games won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
44.9%
Harry Wendelken
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.01)

    1.68
    (1.72)
    7.1%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Wendelken will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wendelken: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 250.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Wendelken will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    26.03.2026 Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    26.03.2026 Li Tu - Rio Noguchi 1:2
    24.03.2026 Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    04.03.2026 Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo Canceled
    24.02.2026 Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal 0:2
    Latest results of Harry Wendelken
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1