Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 33
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (407/483) | 79% (274/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (407/483) | 79% (274/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/121) | 63% (43/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 50', Nzita M. 🟨,
- 54', Camara E. 🟨,
- 60', Colassin A. ↓, Scheidler A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
- 67', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
- 67', Said R. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Nguene B. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
- 71', Camara E. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 76', Blum L. 🟨,
- 84', Blum L. ↓, Cisse Y. ↑,
- 84', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 86', Mortensen G. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Mohr T. ⚽,
- 90+5', Nielsen C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
47.7% | Draw
27.9% | Standard Liège
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Charleroi - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.85) |
3.43 ↓
(3.54) |
3.94 ↓
(4.18) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Standard Liège?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Standard will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.
- Charleroi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Standard's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Charleroi is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Standard: Assengue S.
(Muscle Injury)
Epolo M.
(Injury)
Fossey M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Homawoo J.
(Red Card)
Karamoko I.
(Injury)
Teuma T.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Standard Liège?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Charleroi?
Standard Liège has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Standard Liège were as follows:
18.01.2026
Charleroi
-
Standard Liège
2:0
31.10.2025
Standard Liège
-
Charleroi
3:1
04.05.2025
Standard Liège
-
Charleroi
0:1
06.04.2025
Charleroi
-
Standard Liège
1:0
30.11.2024
Charleroi
-
Standard Liège
1:1
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 46 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 36 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 28 |
| 5 | Gent | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
