Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
52%68%
1st serve points won
83% (43/52)75% (48/64)
2nd serve points won
44% (21/48)40% (12/30)
Break Points Saved
6/89/13
1st return points won
30% (19/64)27% (14/52)
2nd return points won
60% (18/30)56% (27/48)
Break Points Converted
4/132/8
Winners
2920
Unforced errors
3933
Net points won
67% (6/9)76% (13/17)
Service Points Won
64% (64/100)64% (60/94)
Return Points Won
36% (34/94)36% (36/100)
Total Points Won
51% (98/194)49% (96/194)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Alex Bolt
60.2%
Alex Rybakov
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.49)

    2.35
    (2.51)
    6.9%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rybakov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bolt is ranked ATP: 163. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295.
    • Recent form of Bolt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rybakov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rybakov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Alex Bolt
    Latest results of Alex Rybakov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.
    2TBD #3McDonald M.
    3Tien L. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Bolt A.
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Tiafoe F. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2