Hayato Matsuoka vs Kasidit Samrej – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
47
1st serve percentage
68%70%
1st serve points won
80% (39/49)67% (31/46)
2nd serve points won
52% (12/23)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
1/20/2
1st return points won
33% (15/46)22% (11/49)
2nd return points won
55% (11/20)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
2/21/2
Winners
2011
Unforced errors
3137
Net points won
33% (1/3)53% (8/15)
Service Points Won
69% (48/70)61% (40/66)
Return Points Won
39% (26/66)31% (22/70)
Total Points Won
54% (74/136)46% (62/136)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Hayato Matsuoka
58.2%
Kasidit Samrej
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Hayato Matsuoka - Kasidit Samrej Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.57)

    2.23
    (2.25)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376. Samrej is ranked ATP: 421.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Samrej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Matsuoka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Latest results of Kasidit Samrej
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Oki Y. (WC)1 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Matsuoka H.Samrej K.2 : 0
    4Broady L.Uchida K. (5)2 : 0
    5Zhou Y. (4)Takahashi Y. (LL)2 : 0
    6Overbeck C. E. (Q)Milic O. (NG)0 : 2
    7Ellis B. (PR)Honda N. (WC)2 : 1
    8Jones M.Sun F. (8)2 : 0
    9Wendelken H. (7)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    10Nam Ji S. (Q)Shick B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Tu L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tokuda R.Hsu Y. H. (3)0 : 2
    13Noguchi R. (6)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    14Taguchi R. (WC)Jubb P.1 : 2
    15Moriya H. (Q)Matsuda K. (Q)2 : 1
    16Trotter J. K.Added D. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Oki Y. (RET.)Ilagan A.0 : 1
    2Matsuoka H.Broady L.1 : 2
    3Zhou Y. (4)Milic O.0 : 2
    4Ellis B.Jones M.2 : 1
    5Wendelken H. (7)Shick B.2 : 0
    6Jasika O.Hsu Y. H. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Tung-LinJubb P.2 : 1
    8Moriya H.Trotter J. K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilagan A.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Milic O. (RET.)Ellis B.1 : 0
    3Wendelken H. (7)Hsu Y. H. (3)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinMoriya H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broady L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    2Wendelken H. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1

    Final
    1Broady L.Wendelken H. (7)