Jacopo Vasami vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
65%63%
1st serve points won
61% (20/33)81% (22/27)
2nd serve points won
33% (6/18)63% (10/16)
Break Points Saved
7/110/0
1st return points won
19% (5/27)39% (13/33)
2nd return points won
38% (6/16)67% (12/18)
Break Points Converted
0/04/11
Winners
1211
Unforced errors
3615
Net points won
33% (1/3)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
51% (26/51)74% (32/43)
Return Points Won
26% (11/43)49% (25/51)
Total Points Won
39% (37/94)61% (57/94)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total games won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Jacopo Vasami
56.1%
Lorenzo Carboni
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacopo Vasami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jacopo Vasami - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.68)

    2.13
    (2.04)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vasami is ranked ATP: 554. Carboni is ranked ATP: 483.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Vasami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.
    2Poljicak M.Giustino L. (7)
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2