Leones del Norte vs Delfín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 7
  • Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileZapping Sports
ecuadorEcuadorZapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.57
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
26
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
22
Passes
83% (326/393)76% (210/276)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.54
Total shots
711
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
916
Passes
83% (326/393)76% (210/276)
Long passes
49% (33/68)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
52% (44/84)57% (43/76)
Crosses
36% (4/11)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.48
Throw ins
2123
Fouls
169
Tackles
71% (12/17)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4252
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
61
xGOT faced
0.540.97
Goals prevented
0.54-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Reyes M. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 30', Solano C. , Velez C. ,
  • 39', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 39', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Morocho J. , Castro L. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Pepinos E. , Mairongo J. (A),
  • 59', Hernandez B. , Castillo Saa J. L. ,
  • 65', Griffa E. 🟨,
  • 67', Heredia G. 🟥,
  • 73', Cavallaro J. , Mendoza E. ,
  • 76', Mairongo J. 🟨,
  • 77', Mairongo J. , Arrieta S. ,
  • 78', Griffa E. , Cabeza J. ,
  • 78', Aguas A. , Borja R. ,
  • 90', Portocarrero S. , De La Cruz M. ,
  • 90+7', Monserrat N. 🟥,
  • 90+9', Burdisso M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leones del Norte
42.8%
Draw
32.1%
Delfín
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 32.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 31.2% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Leones del Norte - Delfín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.34)
    2.85
    (2.89)
    3.72
    (3.36)
    8.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Delfín?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Leones del Norte is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Delfín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leones del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Leones del Norte could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Delfín
    21.03.2026 Delfín - Libertad Loja 0:0
    14.03.2026 Delfín - Manta 0:1
    06.03.2026 Delfín - Guayaquil City 1:0
    28.02.2026 Emelec - Delfín 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle751113:6716
    2U. Catolica734011:4713
    3Barcelona SC73316:3312
    4Tecnico U73228:6211
    5Dep. Cuenca73227:5211
    6Macara72415:3210
    7Libertad72417:6110
    8LDU Quito73137:8-110
    9Aucas72328:809
    10Delfin72233:4-18
    11Mushuc Runa71428:9-17
    12Leones del Norte71423:7-47
    13Guayaquil City71333:8-56
    14Emelec72236:8-25
    15Orense71249:13-45
    16Manta71152:8-64

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )