Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
63%69%
1st serve points won
50% (18/36)70% (31/44)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)55% (11/20)
Break Points Saved
6/105/7
1st return points won
30% (13/44)50% (18/36)
2nd return points won
45% (9/20)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
2/74/10
Winners
1126
Unforced errors
2924
Net points won
87% (13/15)100% (8/8)
Service Points Won
51% (29/57)66% (42/64)
Return Points Won
34% (22/64)49% (28/57)
Total Points Won
42% (51/121)58% (70/121)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Sumit Nagal
54%
Toby Samuel
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.
  • Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.51)

    2.04
    (2.42)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samuel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nagal is ranked ATP: 278. Samuel is ranked ATP: 171.
    • Nagal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samuel is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Latest results of Toby Samuel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.2 : 0
    2Poljicak M.Giustino L. (7)2 : 1
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.0 : 2
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)2 : 0
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.0 : 2
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ribecai M.Poljicak M. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Coppejans K.Sachko V. (5)1 : 2
    3Dalla Valle E.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    4Gill F.Krumich M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ribecai M.Sachko V. (5)2 : 0
    2Neumayer L.Gill F. (RET.)1 : 0

    Final
    1Ribecai M.Neumayer L.1 : 2