Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarke – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/03/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV7

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
61%68%
1st serve points won
66% (46/70)63% (50/79)
2nd serve points won
57% (25/44)49% (18/37)
Break Points Saved
3/78/12
1st return points won
37% (29/79)34% (24/70)
2nd return points won
51% (19/37)43% (19/44)
Break Points Converted
4/124/7
Winners
3431
Unforced errors
5155
Net points won
79% (15/19)71% (20/28)
Service Points Won
62% (71/114)59% (68/116)
Return Points Won
41% (48/116)38% (43/114)
Total Points Won
52% (119/230)48% (111/230)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
10
Service games won
76% (13/17)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Total games won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Alex Molcan
74%
Jay Clarke
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.2% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alex Molcan - Jay Clarke Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.34)

    3.64
    (3.15)
    5.5%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Molcan is ranked ATP: 200. Clarke is ranked ATP: 179.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Molcan is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alex Molcan
    30.03.2026 Billy Harris - Alex Molcan 0:2
    20.03.2026 Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan Molcan A. retired
    17.03.2026 Maxim Mrva - Alex Molcan Canceled
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Bye
    2Molcan A. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    3Boitan G. A. (WC)Moller E.0 : 2
    4O'Connell C. (Alt)Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    5Borges N. (4)Bye
    6Dzumhur D.Jianu F. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Shevchenko A.Turcanu R. D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Maestrelli F.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (6)Martinez P.2 : 0
    10Basilashvili N. (Q)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    11Sakellaridis S. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    12ByeMarozsan F. (3)
    13Baez S. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    14Bautista-Agut R.Droguet T.1 : 2
    15Virtanen O. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByeMannarino A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Moller E.Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    3Borges N. (4)Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (6)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    6Sakellaridis S.Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    7Baez S. (5)Droguet T.0 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Mannarino A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Molcan A.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    2Dzumhur D.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (6)Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    4Droguet T. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Navone M. (7)Van De Zandschulp B. (8)2 : 1
    2Marozsan F. (3)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (7)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1