Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/04/2026 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
54%59%
1st serve points won
62% (32/52)64% (30/47)
2nd serve points won
45% (20/44)42% (14/33)
Break Points Saved
9/135/10
1st return points won
36% (17/47)44% (23/52)
2nd return points won
58% (19/33)55% (24/44)
Break Points Converted
5/104/13
Winners
2926
Unforced errors
4826
Net points won
63% (15/24)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
54% (52/96)56% (44/78)
Return Points Won
44% (34/78)46% (44/96)
Total Points Won
49% (86/174)51% (88/174)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
67% (8/12)62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)33% (4/12)
Total games won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Blake Ellis
43.2%
Maximus Jones
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 62.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Maximus Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximus Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Blake Ellis - Maximus Jones Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.06)

    1.64
    (1.66)
    7.4%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Blake Ellis - Maximus Jones?
  • Users Predictions: Maximus Jones will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ellis is ranked ATP: 595. Jones is ranked ATP: 318.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Blake Ellis
    Latest results of Maximus Jones