Result
2:1
02/04/2026 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 48% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (42/55) | 67% (26/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (22/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/5 | 2/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 27% (15/55) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 52% (16/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/6 | 3/5 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (57/86) | 59% (48/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (33/81) | 34% (29/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (90/167) | 46% (77/167) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Rafael Jodar
48.3% | Tomas Machac
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Jodar's form might have worsened.Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3%)
Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.75) |
|
1.85 ↓
(2.02) |
4.8%
(6.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Machac will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Jodar is ranked ATP: 89. Machac is ranked ATP: 55.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Tomas Machac?
Rafael Jodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Rafael Jodar?
Tomas Machac has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac were as follows:
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Bennani R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bennani K. (WC) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Baadi T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rocha H. (Q) | Trungelliti M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cerundolo J. M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kopriva V. (6) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Cina F. (NG) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (4) | |
| 13 | Buse I. (7) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Skatov T. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | van Assche L. | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bennani K. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (3) | Baadi T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kopriva V. (6) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Machac T. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Buse I. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (WO.) (1) | Hanfmann Y. (8) | |
| 2 | Moutet C. (3) | Trungelliti M. | |
| 3 | Muller A. | Jodar R. | |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | van Assche L. | |
Semi-finalsFinal
