Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 74% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (44/64) | 56% (27/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 29% (5/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/10 | 2/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 31% (20/64) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 6/8 | 3/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 33% (2/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (55/90) | 49% (32/65) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 39% (35/90) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (88/155) | 43% (67/155) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 38% (10/26) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
76.8% | Adrian Mannarino
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Adrian Mannarino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.32) |
|
4.07 ↑
(3.32) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Adrian Mannarino?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Mannarino will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 86.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 136. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 43.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Merida Aguilar is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Adrian Mannarino?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Adrian Mannarino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Adrian Mannarino were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Diallo G. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Molcan A. (Q) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Boitan G. A. (WC) | Moller E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. (Alt) | Navone M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Borges N. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. | Jianu F. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Turcanu R. D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Maestrelli F. | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Altmaier D. (6) | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Prizmic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sakellaridis S. (Q) | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Marozsan F. (3) | |
| 13 | Baez S. (5) | Gaubas V. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | Droguet T. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Virtanen O. (Alt) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Mannarino A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Diallo G. (1) | Molcan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Moller E. | Navone M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. (4) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Altmaier D. (6) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Sakellaridis S. | Marozsan F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Baez S. (5) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Merida Aguilar D. | Mannarino A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Molcan A. | Navone M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Altmaier D. (6) | Marozsan F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Droguet T. (RET.) | Merida Aguilar D. | 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Navone M. (7) | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. (3) | Merida Aguilar D. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Navone M. (7) | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 1 |
