Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
45.8%
Draw
28.4%
AEK Athens
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 28.2% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.04)
    3.31
    (3.41)
    3.67
    (3.71)
    5.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rayo Vallecano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rayo Vallecano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    22.03.2026 AEK Athens - AE Kifisia 3:0
    19.03.2026 AEK Athens - Celje 0:2
    12.03.2026 Celje - AEK Athens 0:4
    07.03.2026 AEK Athens - AEL Larissa 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2