Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/04/2026 at 22:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Alex Michelsen
62.4%
Alexei Popyrin
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.
  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexei Popyrin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.87)

    2.5
    (1.87)
    5.6%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin?
  • Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (42 of 44 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex Michelsen will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michelsen is ranked ATP: 35. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Michelsen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Popyrin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Michelsen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)
    4TBD #7Tiafoe F. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2