Villegas vs Varea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Villegas
10.7%
Draw
17.6%
Varea
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11% 19.2% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6% 18.4% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Villegas - Varea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.68
    (8.31)
    5.27
    (4.76)
    1.29
    (1.31)
    8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Varea is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:17. (average 0.3:5.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.5:7.5).
    Latest results of Villegas
    22.03.2026 Villegas - Autol 4:0
    15.03.2026 Berceo - Villegas 1:0
    01.03.2026 Oyonesa - Villegas 1:1
    Latest results of Varea
    29.03.2026 Varea - Calahorra 1:1
    21.03.2026 Comillas - Varea 2:1
    15.03.2026 Varea - Vianés 2:1
    08.03.2026 Arnedo - Varea 3:0
    01.03.2026 Varea - San Marcial 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B30228081:216074
    2Varea30215449:232668
    3Arnedo29178464:234159
    4Calahorra291410567:214652
    5Oyonesa30156946:38851
    6Anguiano29147841:33849
    7Agoncillo301371053:401346
    8Haro Deportivo291361048:42645
    9Yague29911943:41238
    10Berceo30991238:43-536
    11Vianes29981235:41-635
    12San Marcial29971333:48-1534
    13Comillas29941626:49-2331
    14CDFC Calzada29861533:50-1730
    15Pradejon30781526:45-1929
    16Villegas29751730:57-2726
    17Autol29342217:69-5213
    18Pena Balsamaiso290111820:66-4611

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation