Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
70%73%
1st serve points won
51% (29/57)62% (36/58)
2nd serve points won
52% (13/25)48% (10/21)
Break Points Saved
6/124/8
1st return points won
38% (22/58)51% (29/57)
2nd return points won
52% (11/21)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
4/86/12
Winners
2320
Unforced errors
4541
Net points won
83% (5/6)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
51% (42/82)59% (47/79)
Return Points Won
41% (32/79)49% (40/82)
Total Points Won
46% (74/161)54% (87/161)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)46% (6/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Alex Molcan
30.3%
Mariano Navone
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 67%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.88)

    1.37
    (1.4)
    5.1%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Navone will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 64.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mariano Navone will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Molcan is ranked ATP: 189. Navone is ranked ATP: 60.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Navone is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alex Molcan
    31.03.2026 Alex Molcan - Jay Clarke 2:1
    30.03.2026 Billy Harris - Alex Molcan 0:2
    20.03.2026 Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan Molcan A. retired
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Bye
    2Molcan A. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    3Boitan G. A. (WC)Moller E.0 : 2
    4O'Connell C. (Alt)Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    5Borges N. (4)Bye
    6Dzumhur D.Jianu F. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Shevchenko A.Turcanu R. D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Maestrelli F.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (6)Martinez P.2 : 0
    10Basilashvili N. (Q)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    11Sakellaridis S. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    12ByeMarozsan F. (3)
    13Baez S. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    14Bautista-Agut R.Droguet T.1 : 2
    15Virtanen O. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByeMannarino A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Moller E.Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    3Borges N. (4)Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (6)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    6Sakellaridis S.Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    7Baez S. (5)Droguet T.0 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Mannarino A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Molcan A.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    2Dzumhur D.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (6)Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    4Droguet T. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Navone M. (7)Van De Zandschulp B. (8)2 : 1
    2Marozsan F. (3)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (7)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1