Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kessler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
64%64%
1st serve points won
59% (36/61)58% (26/45)
2nd serve points won
40% (14/35)64% (16/25)
Break Points Saved
12/181/4
1st return points won
42% (19/45)41% (25/61)
2nd return points won
36% (9/25)60% (21/35)
Break Points Converted
3/46/18
Service Points Won
53% (50/95)60% (42/70)
Return Points Won
40% (28/70)47% (45/95)
Total Points Won
47% (78/165)53% (87/165)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
70
Service games won
54% (7/13)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)46% (6/13)
Total games won
40% (10/25)60% (15/25)

Chances of winning


Peyton Stearns
60%
McCartney Kessler
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peyton Stearns's performance.
  • McCartney Kessler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and McCartney Kessler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peyton Stearns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that McCartney Kessler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peyton Stearns - McCartney Kessler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.87)

    2.4
    (1.87)
    4.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Peyton Stearns - McCartney Kessler?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stearns will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Kessler will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stearns: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Stearns (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): McCartney Kessler will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stearns (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kessler (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stearns is ranked WTA: 46. Kessler is ranked WTA: 53.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kessler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Peyton Stearns
    Latest results of McCartney Kessler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2